The attack on Palmyra is developing quite successfully. After the occupation of the crossroads to the East of the airbase Tiyas, the army has for several weeks engaged in heavy fighting over the oil fields to the North of the road Tiyas-Palmyra.
The rapid advance of Kurdish light infantry and the support of the American aircraft easily broke through the veil of “black” to the North-East of Raqqa, and attempts to counter them by throwing in the reserves do not give the desired results. The Kurds suffered losses, but kept the occupied territories, which creates prerequisites for further “crimping” of Raqqa to the East.
In the case of a successful solution for the re-liberation of Palmyra in the month of February-March in mid-spring it is possible to start the operation of unblocking of Deir ezzor, which will require additional training and focus in the area of Palmyra larger groupings, which can be mounted by releasing forces from the other areas.
About what is happening in Deir ez-Zor and Palmyra, the SAA are now deploying offensive activity against the Caliphate in three directions. You can say that the command of the SAA intends to use the difficulties of the Caliphate on other fronts and stiffness of their forces battle for Deir-ez-Zor, to use the achieved numerical superiority on the chosen directions of attacks.
Syrian sources say that the enemy continues to throw reinforcements to Deir-ez-Zor, hoping to build on this success. Key reinforcements coming from Iraq, where they are removed from the front in Anbar province, where the intensity of the fighting in recent days has decreased. The gunmen apparently planning to renew the attack on the air base to take advantage of their successes that will surely follow, once suffered losses, the troops will be replenished. As we should expect attacks from car bombs that will have to clear the way for advancing militants.
As the Syrians understand the complexity of the situation in Deir ez-Zor, continuing the offensive East of Tiyas, but the pace of advance there are quite modest, to be able to talk about the crisis that forced the Caliphate to bring additional troops. In this respect, the attack in the direction of Deir hafir or the training throw on Tabqa, may force the Caliphate to reconsider their priorities, although without proper preparation, such offensive operations can be quite risky due to the lack of troops to ensure the flanks of the strike force and control over the supply lines. Apparently real plans to liberate Deir-ez-Zor were attributed to spring and have been linked to the onset of Palmyra. The defeat of the Caliphate in December 2016, the first year dealt a serious blow to those plans.
Syrian sources report, to the base of Tiyas continue to have reserves that should take part in operations West of Palmyra. Among them are units formed and armed with Russia for the 5th army corps. Also marked fresh forces “Tigers” and the Republican guard. Major battles to turn around on the line, here, Juvies-Gazal. At this stage, the army creates the conditions to advance to Palmyra. Were occupied the hills to the North of the airbase and are now faced with the task of pushing the militants near the oil fields.The resistance “black” it will be clear whether they hold the districts, or go into a maneuver defense. The main defensive positions of the “black” will be deployed to the West and North-West of Palmyra. The importance of retention Chuvashia, because based on it you can constantly strain the flank of the Syrian group. The same applies to the area of al-Shaer, in the case of the SAA will move along the route Ties-Palmyra the ancient city.