Taking into account the fact that another “ceasefire” has begun and some forces will be thrown from the calmed fronts to finish the Caliphate, we can expect intensification of efforts in East Homs, Eastern Hama and towards Deir-ez-Zor. It is also noted that the frigate Admiral Essen, who came recently to Sevastopol to the place of permanent basing, has already left for a campaign against the shores of Syria. In the near future, significant changes can be expected on the Syrian fronts.
Front to the south of Jira has completely collapsed. The remaining DAESH units went to Maskah, where they plan to organize long-term resistance.
Also began the advance of the SAA in the area of the route Khanasser-Itria.
Yesterday liberated a vast territory to the South from the road Palmyra-Tiyas that has large strategic implications. Secured the southern flank of the groups leading the offensive in the Palmyra, eliminated the threat of invasions from the South on the communication line of the advancing groups completely eliminated any threat of al-Qaryatayn, fighters in Eastern Qalamoun completely cut off from their colleagues operating in the area of the Jordanian border, created excellent conditions for the further release of Central and southern Syria + expect increased transactions of the SAA in Eastern HOMS to cut off the ledge to the North of Tiyas.
On Thursday, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and its allies announced start of the Operation “Grand Dawn” in eastern Syria. The aim of the operation is to expel militants from the eastern desert and to set a foothold for a push to Deir Ezzor. The declaration followed a major success of government forces in southeastern Homs where they had liberated about 5,000 km2 and got a full control over the Damascus-Palmyra highway.
The Syrian Army troops and Resistance Forces that made fresh gains against ISIS in Southeastern Homs are inching closer to a strategic region called the Triangle of Palmyra-Baghdad-Damascus, local sources said on Friday.
There are reports that Russian special forces are deployed to the south of Syria to the Jordanian border, where not so long ago the struggle between the US and Iran for the control over the border areas intensified.
The story with chemical attack develops quite traditional and expected. After stuffing, the militants and the West rushed to accuse “bloody Assad regime” and called the UN security Council, launched a campaign in the press, and trump even said that he changed his attitude to Assad, simultaneously kicking Obama for a prior policy and recommending Russia to change its attitude toward Assad. Russia of course denies everything, in the UN security Council prospects for any anti-Syrian resolution in the objective investigation as nobody is interested, so that the subject “chemical weapons” will be traditionally another element of the information war.
The Syrian army continues to develop the successful attack East of Aleppo. One group comes along the banks of the Euphrates to the administrative borders of the province of Raqqa, along the way, pushing the militants in the South.
In turn, the formation of SDF/YPG continues to advance toward the Euphrates to the East of Raqqa. The city itself is actively not touched – the main effort concentrated on the capture of key towns, roads and bridges on the Euphrates, that is guaranteed to cut through the logistics of militants between Raqqa and Deir-ez-Zor.
The enemy lost the town took up defensive positions in the mountainous terrain to the North from the road Palmyra-Tiyas and providing a flanking effect, inhibits attempts by SAA to move from Palmyra in the direction of Deir ez-Zor. The SAA are therefore forced to spend a portion of their forces on the Northern flank, trying to secure control of the heights and the mountainous area to the North of the road to get there comfortable position for the defense, to do mounted shock troops to advance to Deir-ez-Zor and conduct supporting operations to the North and South of the city…The main problem on both sides, front length is too large for the available forces, therefore, of paramount importance is the ownership of the initiative, which jihadists owned in December-January. Since February, it passed into the hands of the Syrians and their allies, and this was reflected in the operational environment.
Russia in this situation, advocates of Assad, bargaining for a new territorial gains in Northern Syria and striving to achieve interaction between Assad and the Kurds to pull the Kurds out of a too strong alliance with the United States. At this stage, the Kurds have already passed the Syrian army three villages to the southwest of Manbij, but fully buffer zone is still not formed. While to the West of Manbij fighting continues between the Kurds and the FSA, where both parties bear the loss in killed, wounded and prisoners. There are losses in clashes between the SAA and FSA.
According to the General staff, during the fighting for the liberation of Palmyra enemy losses amounted to more than a thousand militants killed, damaged and destroyed 19 tanks, nearly 40 armored combat vehicles, 98 pickups mounted with heavy weapons.
The Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation officially announced that the Palmyra released.
Syrian armed forces with the support of the Russian space forces have completed the operation to capture Palmyra. This was reported to the President of Russia Vladimir Putin, defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, reports TASS.
Developments in the area of the ancient city is accelerating. After lunch, the Syrian army took the high al-tar and the castle of Palmyra. Have not yet confirmed reports that after the citadel troops advanced to the village of al-Amir. As previously indicated, instead of a direct assault on the town, SAA and allies have focused on establishing control over the heights to the North of the city.
The Syrian command is making sufficiently reasonable attempts to expand the territory of the elongated protrusion, to Palmyra, to reduce the future risks associated with flanking threats key track supply, so the advance to the main defensive lines of the Caliphate is quite obvious. Similar actions are being taken and to the South, where the army yesterday took the altitude of 939, the control of which should provide the southern flank of group coming to the crossroads West of the city.
The attack on Palmyra is developing quite successfully. After the occupation of the crossroads to the East of the airbase Tiyas, the army has for several weeks engaged in heavy fighting over the oil fields to the North of the road Tiyas-Palmyra.
The rapid advance of Kurdish light infantry and the support of the American aircraft easily broke through the veil of “black” to the North-East of Raqqa, and attempts to counter them by throwing in the reserves do not give the desired results. The Kurds suffered losses, but kept the occupied territories, which creates prerequisites for further “crimping” of Raqqa to the East.
In the case of a successful solution for the re-liberation of Palmyra in the month of February-March in mid-spring it is possible to start the operation of unblocking of Deir ezzor, which will require additional training and focus in the area of Palmyra larger groupings, which can be mounted by releasing forces from the other areas.
About what is happening in Deir ez-Zor and Palmyra, the SAA are now deploying offensive activity against the Caliphate in three directions. You can say that the command of the SAA intends to use the difficulties of the Caliphate on other fronts and stiffness of their forces battle for Deir-ez-Zor, to use the achieved numerical superiority on the chosen directions of attacks.
Syrian sources say that the enemy continues to throw reinforcements to Deir-ez-Zor, hoping to build on this success. Key reinforcements coming from Iraq, where they are removed from the front in Anbar province, where the intensity of the fighting in recent days has decreased. The gunmen apparently planning to renew the attack on the air base to take advantage of their successes that will surely follow, once suffered losses, the troops will be replenished. As we should expect attacks from car bombs that will have to clear the way for advancing militants.
As the Syrians understand the complexity of the situation in Deir ez-Zor, continuing the offensive East of Tiyas, but the pace of advance there are quite modest, to be able to talk about the crisis that forced the Caliphate to bring additional troops. In this respect, the attack in the direction of Deir hafir or the training throw on Tabqa, may force the Caliphate to reconsider their priorities, although without proper preparation, such offensive operations can be quite risky due to the lack of troops to ensure the flanks of the strike force and control over the supply lines. Apparently real plans to liberate Deir-ez-Zor were attributed to spring and have been linked to the onset of Palmyra. The defeat of the Caliphate in December 2016, the first year dealt a serious blow to those plans.