Judging by the nature of the events, the preparation of the insurgents’ attack was revealed in advance, which led to effective countermeasures, which led to the failure of the offensive in such a short time. A striking contrast with the March events in Northern Hama. By the evening of September 20, according to Syrian sources, the militants were driven out of those areas that they managed to occupy at the cost of large losses, and now the issue of the counteroffensive of the SAA towards Murak is on the agenda in order to take advantage of the consequences of the unsuccessful offensive by militants.
Two big stories from the war correspondents “Anna-News” dedicated to the boiler in East Hama.
Representatives of the defense Ministry and representatives of the “moderate militants” concluded an agreement in Cairo on the cessation of hostilities the Rastan boiler to the North of HOMS.
The concentration of reserves for an attack on the position of the Caliphate in Eastern Hama and Eastern Homs is the logical consequence of not too successful attempts to directly break the defense of militants in the direction of Akerbat. Unlike high-profile successes in the South of Syria, here the pace of progress is low, the enemy has organized and effective resistance, good use of terrain and tactics of mobile groups to organize a chilling action. The forces that were concentrated in the Eastern Hama in may 2017, was obviously insufficient for the solution of operational tasks that demanded as the transfer of additional forces withdrawn from the Western areas of Raqqa province, and the Russian air support, which should facilitate the solution of command problems.
Taking into account the fact that another “ceasefire” has begun and some forces will be thrown from the calmed fronts to finish the Caliphate, we can expect intensification of efforts in East Homs, Eastern Hama and towards Deir-ez-Zor. It is also noted that the frigate Admiral Essen, who came recently to Sevastopol to the place of permanent basing, has already left for a campaign against the shores of Syria. In the near future, significant changes can be expected on the Syrian fronts.
In General, liberating Jirah is a significant operational success, which creates favorable prerequisites for the development of offensive operations to the East of Aleppo, where using the fact that the Caliphate will be to forced pull the troops for the protection of Raqqa, it is possible to significantly expand the controlled territory.
It is obvious that preparations are underway for hostilities against the Caliphate (the regrouping of troops and creation of strike groups requires a certain time), which we will see in the second half of may-early June. As the primary tasks is to sweep the area of the base of the Giro and promotion along the banks of the Euphrates to the administrative borders of Raqqa province + creation of prerequisites for the development of the offensive from the area Itree. Simultaneously, we can expect offensive operations to the North and South of the highway Ties – Palmyra, as well as the mounting of the strike group in the area of the Palmyra, for the ambitious offensive operations in the direction of Deir ez-Zor.