In General, liberating Jirah is a significant operational success, which creates favorable prerequisites for the development of offensive operations to the East of Aleppo, where using the fact that the Caliphate will be to forced pull the troops for the protection of Raqqa, it is possible to significantly expand the controlled territory.
It is obvious that preparations are underway for hostilities against the Caliphate (the regrouping of troops and creation of strike groups requires a certain time), which we will see in the second half of may-early June. As the primary tasks is to sweep the area of the base of the Giro and promotion along the banks of the Euphrates to the administrative borders of Raqqa province + creation of prerequisites for the development of the offensive from the area Itree. Simultaneously, we can expect offensive operations to the North and South of the highway Ties – Palmyra, as well as the mounting of the strike group in the area of the Palmyra, for the ambitious offensive operations in the direction of Deir ez-Zor.
In Northern Hama the front has stabilized. The militants went after the failures of mid-April, fell back to the area of Lataminah and Morek, which is reflected in the rate of advance of the SAA, which is now bogged down in battles for the towns South of Lataminah and South-East of Morek. If in these fights, SAA will be able to grind the main forces of the militants, before the Syrians will open good prospects associated with access to the Central regions of Idlib.
“Al-Nusra” and “Ahrar al-sham” have actually burned their operating reserves in the April fighting and can only rely on fresh recruits from camps in Idlib, as well as a separate jihadist group from other groups. The main problem of fighters is that after the SAA broke through the main defensive line Halfaya-Tablet-al-Imam-Souran, the second line of defense near Lataminah and Morek, in fact is the key to the southern part of Idlib. In the continuation of the offensive of the SAA at the current pace, the consequences of the collapse of the defense of fighters in North Hama can capture and the neighboring parts of the front, particularly in the area Kerdasa and Maan that the favorable SAA for the development of the situation can lead to total collapse of the southern front rebels.
The position of the militants in the Northern Hama continues to deteriorate. After the defeat in the battle of Tabiat al-Imam, there is more of a direct threat from the advance of the SAA to Morek and Latamanah to the position of militants in the area of Halfaya. Because of this, the command of the fighters was forced to pull out troops North, leaving Halfaya (for which a long time of heavy fighting) and the positions to the East of it.
In the Northern Hama heavy fighting continues. SAA has taken Taybat al-Imam and repulsed the counterattacks of “Al-Nusra”, is developing an offensive in the direction of al latamina. The enemy in recent days suffered heavy losses here – according to various estimates from 40 to 60 killed, 6 armored vehicles and more than 10 carts. The district of al latamina subjected to severe bombing by the VKS of the Russian Federation and the Syrian air force, roads leading to city, covered by artillery.
Fierce fighting continues in the area Halfaya. Syrian sources say the build-up of intense artillery fire from the SAA in the direction of Lataminah may indicate the seriousness the intention to eliminate the Lataminah bulge. Entrenched in Taybat al-Imam, SAA gets the opportunity to move in the direction of Lataminah actually going to the flank and rear of the group of militants holding the front in the area Halfaya. It is not excluded that with this growing threat, the militants are likely to lose Halfaya within a week and be forced to move to back to Lataminah, and the SAA in turn, moving from Taybat al-Imam and Souran, can create a threat to Morek, moving along the road toward Khan Shaykhun.