The battle for Mosul. April 2017 | Colonel Cassad

The storm itself still comes down to the painfully long sweeps of neighborhoods in the North-Western part of the city with slow but inexorable progress. In the optimistic scenario, this will be done by May. In the pessimistic one, it will until July be delayed (repeating the scenario of Sirte, the last pocket of resistance on the coast was finished after 3 months), although with the exhaustion of ammunition and explosives for the attacks of suicide bombers, the resistance of the fighters will weaken.

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The battle for Mosul. It’s been six months | Colonel Cassad

Overall, the painful removal of the militants in Mosul will take some time, and of course not without more losses. But in the end Iraq and it will survive, but for the Caliphate the loss of the of Mosul will be a terrible blow, and it’s not only the value of the city, which administratively has long been cut off from the Caliphate and its quasi-state system is actually isolated.The fact that after Stripping the city and district of tal afar, released a large number of troops that will be used for operations in Western Iraq that promises in the second half of 2017 big problems for the Iraqi parts of the Caliphate. So fighters can certainly amuse themselves by bragging about the losses of the Iraqis and the company, but it only underlines a simple truth – the Caliphate as a quasi-state structure will suffer inevitable defeat, crushed by superior opponents, but the way will be a long and blood will be shed fairly. The battle for Mosul is more than demonstrated. On the order of Raqqa.

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Meeting in Antalya | Colonel Cassad

Russia in this situation, advocates of Assad, bargaining for a new territorial gains in Northern Syria and striving to achieve interaction between Assad and the Kurds to pull the Kurds out of a too strong alliance with the United States. At this stage, the Kurds have already passed the Syrian army three villages to the southwest of Manbij, but fully buffer zone is still not formed. While to the West of Manbij fighting continues between the Kurds and the FSA, where both parties bear the loss in killed, wounded and prisoners. There are losses in clashes between the SAA and FSA.

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Mosul. Moments of the war | Colonel Cassad

Despite the losses of the Iraqis and the stubborn resistance of the enemy, the strategic position of militant groups in the Mosul area continues to deteriorate. Yes, they cause significant losses to those advancing and defend to the death, but they cannot reverse the current trend, and in March, or at least, in early April West of Mosul should be freed. At the moment there are according to various estimates from 550 to 750 thousand people still in the city.

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Mosul Campaign Day 110, Feb 4, 2017 | Musings on Iraq

The Iraqi forces (ISF) have constantly talked about a frontal assault on west Mosul across the Tigris River, but now it might be done on two fronts. The Joint Operations Command announced that all preparations for west Mosul were completed. It said engineers would construct bridges to bring vehicles into west Mosul. Now new reports are emerging of another attack, which would not require coming under direct fire while crossing the Tigris.

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