The Castle Of Jabar | Colonel Cassad

During the offensive to the West of Raqqa, the SDF forces/YPG with the support of the USA took the castle of Jabar to the North of the airbase Tabka. The Caliphate slowly moves to the main defensive positions to the West and North-West of Raqqa, where it is planned to organize a long-term defense on a narrow front. Some of the forces withdrew to the South Bank of the Euphrates – some in the direction of the Tabka, others to al-Baba. At the current pace of progress SDF, in March the Kurds should go on near the outskirts of Raqqa to the West, plus will probably attempt to advance to the capital of the Caliphate from the North. It is also not excluded the option of trying to cross the Euphrates in the area of Tabka, to the benefit of the territory Rojava Americans imported including engineering technique that can be used in the construction of a pontoon bridge in the case of formation of a bridgehead on the southern Bank of the Euphrates. Although in General, it is more likely that priority will be given for a direct advance to Raqqa.

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TURKEY – A growing civil war

The insurgency of the Kurdish PKK and its armed wing HPG (Hêzên Parastina Gel, People’s Defence Force, in Turkey) has intensified throughout 2016 in southeastern Turkey, causing a tightening of the Turkish government’s military and administrative repression. They regained control of cities like Cizre, Nusaybin, Sirnak or Diyarbakir at the price of major destruction. Many mountainous and rural areas, however, are under de facto control of the insurgency.

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Race to the al-Baba and the Kurdish question | Colonel Cassad

The Kurds in turn are unlikely to care about the desires of Erdogan, who for them a clear enemy and which is currently the main practical obstacle to the formation of their autonomy/statehood. Therefore, the objective circumstances are pushing both sides to the war, as other ways to resolve the existing contradictions are not visible – the desired objectives of the parties in the Syrian war are diametrically opposed. Along the way, and the Kurds and the Turks go to war with the Caliphate, for whom the dismantling of the Turks with the Kurds facilitate the withdrawal of Northern Syria.

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