The next bifurcation point is access to Deir-ez-Zor, Raqqa’s capture and holding of the Kurdish referendum in Iraq, then we will see further clarification of the pattern and the General configuration of the conflict around the Kurdish self-determination, which is in fatal conflict with the territorial integrity of Syria and Iraq.
Yesterday on the border of Iraq and Syria near Al-TANF (from the Iraqi side, on the territory of Anbar province), the militants of the Caliphate has made a powerful attack on the Iranian proxies (referred to as the 14th Iraqi brigade).
Iran is not just a country, and Iranians are not just people. This is the greatest civilization of antiquity and modernity, playing a huge, sometimes leading role in the multidimensional dialogue of cultures, which is the essence of the history of the world. Iran is an Asian country, and its people, its history is part of the culture of Asia. This means that here we are dealing with something completely independent of Europe and its ways, its identity and the struggle of its Logos.
Briton John Cantil who created ISIS propaganda documentaries (especially he managed a movie about suicide bombers “Caravan of light”) was killed in the Mosul area.
When the assault began, it was assumed that the militants would not make it to the end of June, but nevertheless, the city continued fierce street fighting accompanied by a massive destruction and more victims among militants and Iraqi military and civilians. It is Obvious that the assault on Mosul was one of the most bloody battles of the last decades.
Miracles in the Persian Gulf continue. Qatar, which a few years ago, Tehran was directly accusing of aiding terrorism and having links with Israel has now turned into a “brotherly state”.
In General, fighting in the collapsing camp of the anti-Assad coalition promises to be very interesting.
For Russia the crisis over Qatar is largely beneficial, because now instead of a single camp of enemies of Assad, it is possible to observe their internecine squabbling trying to pass each other responsible for the failure of the preceding policy.
A couple of years ago, the situation when Iran and Turkey will work together to cover Qatar (!) from Saudi Arabia, would look perfect oxymoron. Now, it is perceived as a logical consequence of the tectonic changes in the military-political situation in the middle East. Intervening in the Syrian war, Russia has accelerated the process of reformatting the region, and military successes helped to change the fact that part of these transformations was carried out in the best possible way for the Russian-Iranian coalition, and Assad
“The Israeli enemy should know that if it launches an attack on Syria or Lebanon, it’s unknown whether the fighting will stay just between Lebanon and Israel, or Syria and Israel,” Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said.
“I’m not saying countries would intervene directly — but it would open the door for hundreds of thousands of fighters from all around the Arab and Islamic world to participate in this fight — from Iraq, Yemen, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan,” he said.
The Secretary of security Council of Iran Ali Shamkhani in an interview with the “Foundation for the study of Iran and Eurasia” (IRAS) spoke about the political evolution of the region, putting special emphasis on the situation in Syria, and on Russian-Iranian cooperation on Syria and negotiations in the framework of “Astana.”
From the parameters of the agreement between the US and the Kurds, we can conclude that the United States understands the threat, hence the liabilities associated with the use of Rojava to attack other countries, which implies a rejection of the very very open support of the PKK, which is waging a guerrilla war in Turkey, uses the territory of Syria and Iraq for their rear bases and training camps, which is why Turkey considers the legal Kurdish organizations as supporters of the PKK, and therefore, as “terrorists”. This is an attempt to sweeten the bitter pill for Turkey, which is extremely irritably responds to the supply of arms by the Americans in Rojava.
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on its official news website, Sepah News, that several “ground-to-ground, mid-range missiles” were fired from bases in Kermanshah province, western Iran.
The operation “targeted Takfiri forces in the Deir Ezzor region in Eastern Syria.” Six assailants killed at least 16 people at Iran’s Parliament building and a shrine dedicated to the republic’s revolutionary founder Ayatollah Khomeini. The attacks marked the first time that ISIS, a Sunni Muslim group fighting Iranian-backed militias in Syria, has claimed responsibility for an attack in Iran.
Judging by what is happening, agreement on the division of spheres of influence in South-Eastern Syria and no parties are aggressive redistribution of these territories, While the United States hinder the promotion of the Iranian proxy to At-Tapu, SAA, “Hezbollah” and Shiite volunteers prepare forced off a large piece of territory between the Eastern Kalamoon and the Syrian-Jordanian border. Plus, for all this fuss in the desert is hidden a profound struggle with Iran for a strategic opportunity to control the Syrian-Iraqi borders, through which Iran wants to throw a land corridor to Syria and create “a Shiite Crescent”.
Iran’s Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) blamed the sponsors of the Takfiri Daesh for the attacks and pledged to retaliate.
The IRGC said the fact that the terrorist attacks had been carried out by Daesh just days after US President Donald Trump met with “the rulers of a regional reactionary regime,” which has been supporting Takfiri terrorists — a thinly-veiled reference to Saudi Arabia — indicated that “they have a hand in the bestial attacks.”
The Saudis and their allies are demanding, in effect, that Qatar end its independent foreign policy and tame or close down its television station, Al Jazeera. They claim that Qatar is complicit with Iran in supporting terrorism, though Qatar is one of the loose coalition of Sunni states supporting forces hostile to Iran in Syria and Yemen.
One pro-Saudi lobbyist in the US even threatens regime change in Qatar, tweeting to its Emir: “I would like to remind you that [elected Egyptian President] Mohammed Morsi did exactly the same [as you] and was then toppled and imprisoned.”
Although details are scarce and often conflicting, it appears the R+6 operation to reclaim Syria’s southern border is proceeding. It is also about to come face-to-face with the Coalition plan to carve out a safe area in this part of Syria. We shall see who blinks first.
Then, the SDF vowed that it will not accept any corridor between Iran and ‘the Syrian regime’ and will oppose any PMU attempt to enter the Syrian territory, Al Ghad Press reported citing a source among the SDF leadership.
If confirmed, it will be another step in the ongoing escalation in the PMU-SDF relations as well as deterioration of the shaky relations between the US-backed force and the Syrian government.
Lecture of Leonid Savin in the Institute of Caucasian Studies of Tehran University.
May 21, 2017 was held lecture of chief editor of Geopolitica.ru Leonid Savin in the Institute of Caucasian Studies of Tehran University (Islamic Republic of Iran).
It is obvious that as the influence of Western liberals increases, attempts will be made in Iran to reduce cooperation with Russia in all directions. But not only with Russia, but also with regard to the anti-Western strategy of Tehran as a whole, since to obtain certain promises from the West, Iran will have to give up geopolitical ambitions in the region.
Yesterday liberated a vast territory to the South from the road Palmyra-Tiyas that has large strategic implications. Secured the southern flank of the groups leading the offensive in the Palmyra, eliminated the threat of invasions from the South on the communication line of the advancing groups completely eliminated any threat of al-Qaryatayn, fighters in Eastern Qalamoun completely cut off from their colleagues operating in the area of the Jordanian border, created excellent conditions for the further release of Central and southern Syria + expect increased transactions of the SAA in Eastern HOMS to cut off the ledge to the North of Tiyas.
On Thursday, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and its allies announced start of the Operation “Grand Dawn” in eastern Syria. The aim of the operation is to expel militants from the eastern desert and to set a foothold for a push to Deir Ezzor. The declaration followed a major success of government forces in southeastern Homs where they had liberated about 5,000 km2 and got a full control over the Damascus-Palmyra highway.