The seeds of a future war | Colonel Cassad


Israel has strongly opposed the U.S.-Russian deal on Syria.

The Israeli leadership for the first time openly expressed dissatisfaction with the American-Russian agreement about the zone of de-escalation in southern Syria. At a meeting with journalists in Paris after talks with French President Makron Benjamin Netanyahu said that the agreement on Syria contrary to the interests of Israel, as it perpetuates the presence of Iran and the Shiite militias close to our border.

A senior figure in the Israeli administration said in confidential conversation with the correspondent of “Haaretz” Barak Ravida that Netanyahu has repeatedly expressed the American and Russian leaders insisting on the need to consider Israel’s interests in the agreement being prepared in southern Syria. The Americans and President Putin, with whom Netanyahu spoke at the beginning of the month, replied that understand the concerns of Israel. However, when the text of the agreement became known, it turned out that it completely ignores the interests of the Jewish state.

In particular, Jerusalem is not happy with that to monitor compliance with agreements in the area of de-escalation near the Golan heights will be the Russian military. The worst enemies of Israel, Iran and “Hezbollah” — the main ally of Moscow in the middle East. Earlier in public statements, Israeli leaders welcomed the agreement on a cease-fire in Syria, criticizing him only through diplomatic channels. “The agreement in its current form is very bad for Israel, as it does not take into account neither our interest in the security field — there is no mention of Iran, Hezbollah and other Shiite militias”— quoted a senior source Barak Ravid.

With Russia everything is clear, but no less deaf to the needs of Israel and the us were the representatives of the: messenger of the Washington coalition against ISIS Brett Mcguirk and state Department envoy to Syria, Michael Britni who came to Jerusalem to discuss Syrian Affairs.

The Prime Minister also told journalists that a significant part of the meeting with the Makron was devoted to the situation in Lebanon, the growing Iranian presence in the country and continued strengthening of the position of “Hezbollah” in southern Lebanon.
Netanyahu took advantage of the special relationship between Paris and Beirut and asked Him to convey to the Prime Minister of Lebanon, sa’ada al-Hariri that Israel is concerned about the prospect of the establishment of military plants and bases of Iran in the Country of the Cedar, and that Hamas intends to begin to operate from its territory. “I told Him that now in Lebanon sow the seeds of the future a very difficult war, and the government in Beirut should not bring”, — said Netanyahu to reporters. zinc

PS. In an effort to weaken the Assad regime, in order to solve the issue of the Golan heights, to prevent the strengthening of Iran and relying on benefits long civil war in Syria, where Israel has indirectly supported the Islamic militants, Tel Aviv was surprised to find that the output is worse the military infrastructure of Iran is now directly approaching the Israeli border, and “Hezbollah”, which Israel could not win in 2006, in recent years significantly increased both quantitatively and qualitatively, receiving Russian and Iranian arms, which under the promised “future war” can certainly be used against Israel.Of course, do not count on it in Israel, making their own stakes in the Syrian war, but the current annoyance quite clearly reflects the fact that Israel as well as other members of the anti-Assad coalition fully shook the effects of the strategic changes that have occurred after the formation of the Russian-Iranian Alliance and Russia’s entry into the Syrian war. This not only saved the Assad regime and led to its strengthening, but also created lasting foundations for the extension of Iranian influence and education “Shiite bridge” in the framework of the vision of General Soleimani ensures Iran a direct overland route through the territory of Iraq and Syria to the borders of Israel and southern Lebanon.

Attempts to prevent this at the tactical level, but the block that the Americans were trying to build at At-TANF and thwart Iran did not work, it simply bypassed the North, which had revealed a lack of American forces for the relief of the strategic plans of Iran. The attacks on “Hezballa” only provoke Iran to strengthen the supply of its weapon, preparing the ground for strengthening of its influence from the border with Israel, Western Syria and southern Lebanon.
As military means to prevent more systemic transfer of military cargo from Iraq to Syria, Israel can not, and transaction No. 3 between the United States and Russia facilitates Iran building usaili in South and South-East Syria, Israel began to publicly complain that its strategy has stalled, and threaten the “future war”.. But more recently from tel Aviv sounded quite different optimistic mantras on the struggle with Iran is using Sunni radicals:

Professor Efraim Inbar.

RT: Why do you see the continued existence of ISIS, it is preferable to destruction?

Efraim Inbar: We must recognize that the main source of instability and the main danger to peace in the middle East is Iran. As a result, we should concentrate our efforts to curb the influence of Iran. And ISIS is fighting the regime of Assad is no less cruel than ISIS, and the Iraqi government, which is essentially a satellite of Iran.

RT: However, Iran is not beheading and not raping 8 and 9 year old girls, etc. This is what ISIS is doing in the here and now. This is the reality, isn’t it?

EI: I think you should be more careful in the evaluation of policies in the field of human rights in Iran. Iran is on the U.S. list of States supporting terrorism. Iran is causing problems in Saudi Arabia; they were trying to destabilize the situation in the Gulf countries; they support the brutal Assad regime. And of course they were pledged to destroy the Jewish state. So I don’t think we should forget about the dangers of Iranian policy.

RT: Tehran would be serious questions about such statements, isn’t it? Against “bad guys with bad guys”, don’t you think? Is it too simplistic? The actions of the Assad government cannot be equated to the actions of ISIS, isn’t it?

EI: If you’re careful in the calculations, I’m sure you will come to a clear conclusion that the Assad regime has killed far more people than ISIS. Also in the middle East there is always the privilege of a clear moral choice. It is a Hobbesian world, and you should try to limit the power of their enemies, and chief among them is Iran.

RT: You also argue that volatility may be positive. Given the number of people who were killed and were forced to leave their homes as a result of the Syrian conflict, is it not questionable at least, approval?

EI: Stability is good if it serves your purposes. We live in a world where in many places people kill people and we don’t intervene everywhere. In the middle East the worst country, which is committed to the goal of genocide, the destruction of the Jewish state must be stopped. And ISIS performs this function.

RT: do You believe that this murderous group should be able to continue their existence simply to maintain the absolute dominance of Israel and the United States in the region?

EI: I don’t think the current American administration is interested in domination in the middle East. In fact, in recent years they have gone from the Middle East. This problem is partly because the Obama administration is behaving irresponsibly, and the United States when it is not fulfilling its role as a great power. Iran, slave radical Islamist ideology, cannot be allowed to be part of the stability in the middle East. I approve of that [Islamic state] fighting with Iranian advisors, who are no better than ISIS in any moral consideration. zinc

the Chief of military intelligence of the IDF, Herzi Halevy.

Israel does not want the situation in Syria ended when Da ish defeated, the superpowers are leaving the region and we [Israel] remain in front of the more powerful Hezbollah and Iran with the best opportunities. So the end result is problematic. We [Israel] have to influence events so that we wouldn’t be in this situation. A stable Syria, where ISIS is defeated, will mean that the US and allies (the”great powers”)will be withdrawn from the region, leaving Israel alone with Iran and Hezbollah. zinc

Actually it very clearly reflects the logic of Israel’s air strikes and other measures to support radical Sunni groups in Syria.

Former Israeli defense Minister Moshe ya’alon.

Now we are witnessing the collapse of the artificial States. It is the result of Western influence in the region, especially after the Treaty of Sykes-Picot and post-colonial era after the Second world war. Then Western leaders believed that middle East States can use the European system, but they ignored the realities. Western countries were wishful thinking and trying to tell the Middle East how to act.
Even in Europe, did not have much success in Yugoslavia was the collapse of the artificial States. The Middle East is more like Yugoslavia than in other European countries. And when the tyrannical regimes were overthrown — as in Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen, we’ve seen internal conflicts. In Libya, tribal, Iraq — religious, in Syria between alawites, Kurds and Sunnis.
You have to understand that Syria cannot be combined. Need to get used to the fact that we will see the Syrian “alavistan”, “Kurdistan”, “sunnistan”. After the terrorist “Islamic state” (IG, is prohibited in Russia. — “Газета.Ru”) will the Syrian “sunnistan”.


This is a challenge for superpowers. Or a chance. The meeting between trump and Putin will discuss the General issues and fill the middle East vacuum, which is now three political forces fighting for power, hegemony and influence. Talks trump and Putin can give a positive result. – zinc

The result of the negotiations, trump and Putin was clearly not the fact. expected. An Epiphany, as after the victory of the Russian-Iranian coalition in the battle for Aleppo, in Syria began significant changes, which has now led to the fact that the demands of Assad’s departure are gradually removed, including Western countries, and the role of Russia and Iran in the post-war Syria is considered significant a priori. The success of Iran, more than clearly noted former U.S. Ambassador to Syria, Robert Ford, as well as various employees of the state Department and the Pentagon, commenting on the correction of American policy towards Syria.

Former U.S. Ambassador to Syria, Robert Ford.

Given the large support offered by Iran and Russia to the Syrian government, “game over” for US plans to overthrow Assad or to compete with what he called the success of Iran in this country.
The Iranian position will be successful,” added Ford. “Assad won, I want to say that he is a winner, or he thinks so,” he said, adding that “Maybe in 10 years he will return control of the whole country.”

Lavrov and Kislyak, at the meeting with trump in the White House.

Retreat Tillerson indicates that the state Department, making his way through thickets of tangled relations between the warring in Syria conflicting alliances, intends to circumvent the difficult ethical problem and not addressing the question of what to do with the Assad regime. “The reason the US involved in the Syrian events is ISIS — said on Wednesday to reporters, state Department spokesman Nauert Heather (Heather Nauert). — That is what worries us and why we are there”.

Former special Advisor to the state Department on the issue of political reform in Syria Fred Hof (Hof Fred) called the administration’s position trump against Russia’s role in Syria “is unclear, leading to confusion”.
He believes that the reason is the lack of trump, a coherent, comprehensive national security strategy.“There is no single line to which all must adhere, he said. And I’m not surprised that on this issue there are many opinions and positions.” On the transfer of Assad’s fate in hands of Russia, he said: “it is One thing to walk away from the situation and say, “Let those involved Russian.” But it is quite another thing to assume that it is possible actually to act wisely from a political point of view, hoping that the Russians will achieve good results.”

Former high-ranking U.S. officials concerned about howthe administration of the trump inferior to the Kremlin’s political positions in Syria, virtually nothing in return. “What we hear from the administration, mainly for the fact that the United States can offer Russia, and not Vice versa”, said Evelyn Farkas (Farkas Evelyn), a former first Deputy assistant Secretary of defense for Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia.
According to Farkas, Moscow as a result of a number of contradictory statements on Syria have benefited. – zinc

After the United States, the President of France Makron also took the demands of Assad’s departure.

“We really changed the French doctrine in relation to Syria, to bring the positions closer together with our partners, particularly the United States. Our main goal is to eliminate terrorists, all terrorist groups”, – quotes the words of Macron BfmTV. He stressed that allies seek Syria political solution to the crisis and in this context “I did not put the departure of Bashar al-Assad a condition for France’s participation” in resolving the situation. – zinc

The meaning of the problem of Israel is that trying to use Western aggression against Syria to solve their local issues, Israel until the end of underestimated all the consequences of the struggle with Iran by the hands of Sunni extremists (which by the way was preduprejdali, among which the most important is that Assad survived, but it weakened the Syrian regime had provided a platform for Russian and Iranian military presence directly at the borders of Israel, and ensure high-quality organizational and military growth “Hezbollah”, which in the best years Israel could not overcome. Well, now it appears to blame Washington and Moscow, which do not take into account the interests of Israel, although until recently Israel thought that it was not the United States and Russia, and the Caliphate will successfully cope with the Iranian influence in the region. But “black” did not justify the high trust and one of the “natural Sunni allies against the Iranian influence,” recently took the cowardly and fled to Iran. Erdogan, which occupies approximately the same as that of Israel, not so long ago headed in the same direction. There is something come into the gloom.

More materials on the subject:

the Russian T-90 under the flag of “Hezballa”. The Hama offensive in the East against the Caliphate, the fall of 2016.

1. Shiite corridor
2. The Iranian military presence
3. Sphere of influence
4. Hybrid strategy of Iran
5. “Hezballa” on the March
6. Assad’s fate must decide Russia

Stauffenberg was Right!

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