Syria. 22.03.2017 | Colonel Cassad

The Syrian army continues to develop the successful attack East of Aleppo. One group comes along the banks of the Euphrates to the administrative borders of the province of Raqqa, along the way, pushing the militants in the South.

In turn, the formation of SDF/YPG continues to advance toward the Euphrates to the East of Raqqa. The city itself is actively not touched – the main effort concentrated on the capture of key towns, roads and bridges on the Euphrates, that is guaranteed to cut through the logistics of militants between Raqqa and Deir-ez-Zor.

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Meeting in Antalya | Colonel Cassad

Russia in this situation, advocates of Assad, bargaining for a new territorial gains in Northern Syria and striving to achieve interaction between Assad and the Kurds to pull the Kurds out of a too strong alliance with the United States. At this stage, the Kurds have already passed the Syrian army three villages to the southwest of Manbij, but fully buffer zone is still not formed. While to the West of Manbij fighting continues between the Kurds and the FSA, where both parties bear the loss in killed, wounded and prisoners. There are losses in clashes between the SAA and FSA.

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Tadif taken | Colonel Cassad

Thus, without high-profile victories, the SAA during the offensive North of Aleppo has freed more than 500 square kilometers of territory of the province. This is a logical consequence of a delayed victory in the “Mother of all battles”, as the release of a large number of troops, allowed the SAA more confidence to conduct offensive operations against the Caliphate, using a partial truce with the “green”. While maintaining the ceasefire regime and the implementation by Turkey of its obligations, the SAA in the coming months will greatly expand the monitoring area to the East of Aleppo and will be able to finally solve an old problem with the safety of the route Khanasser-Aleppo.

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The Assault On Al-Bab 21.02.2017 | Colonel Cassad

On the background of Turkish setbacks, things are going well for the Syrians, and Kurds. SAA continues to advance towards Deir-Hafer, and the Kurds compress Raqqa in the East and spread their influence to the southern borders of Rojava in the direction of the Euphrates and Deir-ez-Zor. In light of this situation, Erdogan’s statements that he wants to attack Raqqa, look a bit detached from military reality.

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The military situation in Syria.14.02.2017 | Colonel Cassad

The rapid advance of Kurdish light infantry and the support of the American aircraft easily broke through the veil of “black” to the North-East of Raqqa, and attempts to counter them by throwing in the reserves do not give the desired results. The Kurds suffered losses, but kept the occupied territories, which creates prerequisites for further “crimping” of Raqqa to the East.

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Al-Bab.12.02.2017 | Colonel Cassad

Erdogan said that after the completion of the operation in the al-Bab, the Turkish army will attack in Raqqa. Given the configuration of the front line, just stepping through the territory of the Kurds.

The Kurds, in turn, expecting trouble on the part of Erdogan, are continuing to recruit battalions of new recruits in Rojava and continue operations in the area of Raqqa, in approaching the Eastern and North-Eastern outskirts of the capital of the Caliphate.

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Al-Bab.11.02.2017 | Colonel Cassad

In fact, at al-Bab the Turks are trying to gnaw through the defense of “black” in the Western areas of al-Bab, gradually moving to the center of the city. The enemy provided a strong resistance from the 9th-11th February. However, the retreat from Tarifa, the Elevator and the intersection, and termination of counter-attacks, can attest to the fact that “black” began preparations for the retreat of al-Bab, for which they must hold Bza ah to preserve a corridor for the retreat, which they can use today or tomorrow night to salvage the main forces from encirclement and destruction. The abandonment by “black” of Qabasin can be a marker of acceleration of events. In General, it is a kind of squeezing of the boiler rather than the encirclement and destruction.

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Al-Bab.09.02.2017 | Colonel Cassad

By 9 February, the militants of the Caliphate managed to hold the mouth of the boiler and to prevent the connection of the Syrian and Turkish forces to the South-East of Bza ah. Counterattacks to the North of Haran in the region of Bza ah slowed the progress of the SAA and Pro-Turkish militants, which allowed black to keep the communication group operating in the area of al-Bab and the main territory of the Caliphate. The neck at this stage is about 3 kilometers.

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Al-Bab.06.02.2017 | Colonel Cassad

In fact, it is now possible to observe the formation of the al-Bab boiler, with full-fledged fire control over the road the retreat of militants would be impossible and break through the open countryside between the positions of SAA and FSA in its current form would promises serious losses, but if the enemy will retreat tonight, the bulk of the forces of the “black” apparently can still slip out of the boiler.

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Al-Bab. 05.02.2017 | Colonel Cassad

Pro-Turkish militants entrenched outside the city and wait for the Turkish air force and artillery to do their job, to resume the assault on the city. The events once again proved that “green” infantry has a very low resistance and at the first problem has a tendency to retreat, even with the numerical advantage. However, these tactical successes don’t cancel growing problems for the “black” – the Syrians and the SAA are advancing on both sides to track the key supply that devalues the local success of the Caliphate in the battle for Bza ‘ah.

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Al-Bab. 20.01.2017 | Colonel Cassad

However. despite heavy losses, the Turks continue to pull the ring around Kubyshina (a town West of al-Bab). Taking advantage of the superiority in forces they ousted the militants of the Caliphate in the city and gradually occupied the surrounding hills, offering the militants of two scenarios – defense in Kabiline being cut off from al-Bab or go to al-Bab, leaving the city without a fight, as it was in the case of Dabic.

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