The seeds of a future war | Colonel Cassad

In an effort to weaken the Assad regime, in order to solve the issue of the Golan heights, to prevent the strengthening of Iran and relying on benefits long civil war in Syria, where Israel has indirectly supported the Islamic militants, Tel Aviv was surprised to find that the output is worse the military infrastructure of Iran is now directly approaching the Israeli border, and “Hezbollah”, which Israel could not win in 2006, in recent years significantly increased both quantitatively and qualitatively, receiving Russian and Iranian arms, which under the promised “future war” can certainly be used against Israel.

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The rebels refuse to participate in U.S.-Russian deal | Colonel Cassad

Part of the militant groups in southern Syria refused to participate in U.S.-Russian deal on Syria. Those who refused to participate were the groups associated with “Al-Nusra”, which is not surprising.

Thus, as before, it is possible to diagnose the simple fact that the United States are unable (or unwilling) to exercise full control over those groups, to which they always commit themselves.

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Resafa and Suwayda | Colonel Cassad

On the one hand, you can not hurry with Deir-ez-Zor and move to the oasis Sukhna North, with the intent of connecting with a group of the SAA in the district of Arak. Thus, when connecting the Syrian troops in the oasis of Sukhna, all that will be West of the point of contact of the advancing troops, in fact will be in a huge pot, and will be cut off from the rest of the territory of the Caliphate and most importantly, from the reinforcements from the province of Deir ez-Zor and from Anbar province in Iraq.

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Hama, Homs, Raqqa. 11.07.2017 | Colonel Cassad

The concentration of reserves for an attack on the position of the Caliphate in Eastern Hama and Eastern Homs is the logical consequence of not too successful attempts to directly break the defense of militants in the direction of Akerbat. Unlike high-profile successes in the South of Syria, here the pace of progress is low, the enemy has organized and effective resistance, good use of terrain and tactics of mobile groups to organize a chilling action. The forces that were concentrated in the Eastern Hama in may 2017, was obviously insufficient for the solution of operational tasks that demanded as the transfer of additional forces withdrawn from the Western areas of Raqqa province, and the Russian air support, which should facilitate the solution of command problems.

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“Hurricanes” near Arak | Colonel Cassad

Taking into account the fact that another “ceasefire” has begun and some forces will be thrown from the calmed fronts to finish the Caliphate, we can expect intensification of efforts in East Homs, Eastern Hama and towards Deir-ez-Zor. It is also noted that the frigate Admiral Essen, who came recently to Sevastopol to the place of permanent basing, has already left for a campaign against the shores of Syria. In the near future, significant changes can be expected on the Syrian fronts.

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