Turkish troops on the border with Kurdistan | Colonel Cassad

Taking into account possible escalation in Iraq at the end of September, this military activity looks like a pre-preperation “just in case”, though perhaps the Turkish General staff has a more serious agreement with the Iranian military on the subject of action to prevent the dismemberment of Iraq. The official explanation from the Turkish military emphasized that the military exercises are aimed at practicing cooperation in fighting terrorism. As DAESH is long gone from the area, it is quite clear who the Turks mean.

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The airport of Deir ez-Zor has been Liberated | Colonel Cassad

The breakthrough of the blockade and the resumption of full operation of the aerodrome in the medium term, gives the SAA additional opportunities for operations in Eastern Syria, as an opportunity to fully air supply through the airbase of Deir ez-Zor, may accelerate the deployment of reinforcements for the development of operations for the full liberation of the city and subsequent operations against Madina and Abu Kemal.

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Deir ez-Zor. 05.09.2017. Day | Colonel Cassad

On the morning of 5 September the main forces of the Northern group of the SAA has closed the last 2 kilometers to the positions of the SAA in the area of 137th base and now officially confirm the release of the enclave, although the special forces arrived 2 days ago, and already started celebrating. In this case, as previously, the town itself is largely under the control of the Caliphate and his release remains a separate and very difficult task. Also not yet released is the airfield.

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Deir ez-Zor Liberated | Colonel Cassad

This is a very symbolic day for the Syrian war. The garrison repelled dozens of attacks and assaults, even being in split into two parts, besieged, deprived of a full supply, and yet confounded all the skeptics waiting for reinforcements.

Of course, this is only the formal access to the base. Need to tighten up supply, you need to connect with a garrison cut off of from the air base. You need to clear the areas North and South of the area extending to the city and need to prepare for hard battles for the liberation of that part of the city, which still holds the militants.

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On the way to Deir-ez-Zor | Colonel Cassad

Turkish “proxy” attacked the US infantry from the 75th Ranger regiment to the North of Manbij. The Americans returned fire, and then fled from the area. The US complained to Turkey about the behavior of her minions. It is not yet clear whether it was a local initiative of the insurgents or the Turks with their hands “proxy” overtures to the US position, preparing their traditional “knife in the back”.

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The counterattack of the Caliphate | Colonel Cassad

In General, such counter-offensive activity is rather typical for “black”. As soon as they accumulate enough power, they seek to find weaknesses in the stretched front of the SAA and by achieving tactical surprise, they launch raids with the aim of causing the greatest possible one-time damage, to slow down the advance key strike groups of the SAA (which will have to take some of the forces from the direction of the main blow for the relief of such moments of crisis) and to take booty.

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Dissection Of The Caliphate. Option # 2 | Colonel Cassad

SAA in turn will take several days to create a full wall of the boiler, so as long as there has been only a General cordon cutting off the group from rest of the Caliphate. Overall, this development is changing in favor of the SAA strategic position in Central Syria and creates the preconditions for the further liberation of the territories of the provinces of HOMS and Hama, and also creates the medium term to restore oil production in the liberated areas that will facilitate economic situation in Syria.

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