Overall, the painful removal of the militants in Mosul will take some time, and of course not without more losses. But in the end Iraq and it will survive, but for the Caliphate the loss of the of Mosul will be a terrible blow, and it’s not only the value of the city, which administratively has long been cut off from the Caliphate and its quasi-state system is actually isolated.The fact that after Stripping the city and district of tal afar, released a large number of troops that will be used for operations in Western Iraq that promises in the second half of 2017 big problems for the Iraqi parts of the Caliphate. So fighters can certainly amuse themselves by bragging about the losses of the Iraqis and the company, but it only underlines a simple truth – the Caliphate as a quasi-state structure will suffer inevitable defeat, crushed by superior opponents, but the way will be a long and blood will be shed fairly. The battle for Mosul is more than demonstrated. On the order of Raqqa.
Beating off the attack of DAESH, SDF requested an airstrike, but gave the wrong coordinates, or by the moment of impact, the front line had managed to move. In the end, the American planes bombed on their own. As a result, SDF/YPG (basically the Kurds) 18 killed and a few dozen injured. The incident is officially recognized by the Pentagon, though the Americans all piled into SDF – for failing to properly give coordinates. In principle, an ordinary episode, but not the first. Similar incidents took place in the assault Manjib, Fallujah and Mosul, not to mention the “erroneous” attacks on concentrations of civilians.
There was a fresh batch of photos of the transfer of us technology to Syria. In the area of Kobane was captured columns of armored vehicles, trucks and engineering vehicles that can deploy on U.S. bases South of Kobani.
Obviously, that the equipment is being moved under the coming storm of Raqqa, as the current level of technical equipment of the Kurds to make a decision on this issue is problematic. The increase in the military presence of the US army says that preparation for the summit entered its final phase.
The story with chemical attack develops quite traditional and expected. After stuffing, the militants and the West rushed to accuse “bloody Assad regime” and called the UN security Council, launched a campaign in the press, and trump even said that he changed his attitude to Assad, simultaneously kicking Obama for a prior policy and recommending Russia to change its attitude toward Assad. Russia of course denies everything, in the UN security Council prospects for any anti-Syrian resolution in the objective investigation as nobody is interested, so that the subject “chemical weapons” will be traditionally another element of the information war.
The base will obviously serve different purposes.
1. The control of the FSA militants and affiliated groups in order to avoid destruction of the balance that gave the opportunity to Turkey to return to the big game.
2. Conduct a local anti-Kurdish operations against Rojava (similar objects are likely to be deployed in the Western part of the Turks controlled the territory for operations against Afrin).
3. The intensification of intelligence-technical intelligence in Northern Syria.
4. The basing of units of the regular army, who represent the military presence in the region (modeled on the Turkish military base in Iraq).
In General, the operation “shield of the Euphrates” despite some understatement, was a success in Turkey that the price is acceptable military and political losses, were able in practice to make a serious reversal of its policy and start correcting the mistakes that have produced Erdogan, in 2011-2016 years when persisting in their attempts to overthrow Assad at any cost, he put the Turkey and his own regime on the brink of disaster. Of course, this operation was coordinated with Russia and Iran – Turkey has allowed to achieve the above objectives, in exchange for the correction of its foreign policy in the region and the services needed for the capture of Aleppo and the release of a number of enclaves.
The Syrian army continues to develop the successful attack East of Aleppo. One group comes along the banks of the Euphrates to the administrative borders of the province of Raqqa, along the way, pushing the militants in the South.
In turn, the formation of SDF/YPG continues to advance toward the Euphrates to the East of Raqqa. The city itself is actively not touched – the main effort concentrated on the capture of key towns, roads and bridges on the Euphrates, that is guaranteed to cut through the logistics of militants between Raqqa and Deir-ez-Zor.