For SAA, the occupation of the oasis Sukhna will have important operational value, as the capture of Sukhna opens the way for the assault in the province of Deir ez-Zor, where an oasis can be intermediate rear base that will be necessary as you move along the road of HOMS – Deir-ZZ-Zor. For the Caliphate the loss of Arak would mean further complication of the situation to the East and North-East of Palmyra, where in the last few months, “black” has lost a number of key positions.
“The Israeli enemy should know that if it launches an attack on Syria or Lebanon, it’s unknown whether the fighting will stay just between Lebanon and Israel, or Syria and Israel,” Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said.
“I’m not saying countries would intervene directly — but it would open the door for hundreds of thousands of fighters from all around the Arab and Islamic world to participate in this fight — from Iraq, Yemen, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan,” he said.
Judging by what is happening, agreement on the division of spheres of influence in South-Eastern Syria and no parties are aggressive redistribution of these territories, While the United States hinder the promotion of the Iranian proxy to At-Tapu, SAA, “Hezbollah” and Shiite volunteers prepare forced off a large piece of territory between the Eastern Kalamoon and the Syrian-Jordanian border. Plus, for all this fuss in the desert is hidden a profound struggle with Iran for a strategic opportunity to control the Syrian-Iraqi borders, through which Iran wants to throw a land corridor to Syria and create “a Shiite Crescent”.
The Syrian Arab Army’s (SAA) recent advances in the southern countryside of Syria has led them to recover a large portion of territory that has been out of their control for over three years.
The armed forces of Syria in the seventh year of the war, from the regular army to the volunteer corps
With the outbreak of civil war in Syria, the Assad regime undertook measures for the adaptation of his loyal armed forces to the conflict to which they were absolutely not ready.
Importantly, the overall dynamics of such operations in the majority of such crises in the end in favor of Assad. Even suffering setbacks at the tactical and operational level, strategically, Assad continues to strengthen its position, expanding the controlled area. The successful conclusion of operations in Northern Hama will also serve to strengthen this trend, which originated in the fall of 2015.
Of course at this stage the fighting in North Hama not only hinder the development of the offensive of the SAA to the East of Aleppo, but also make it difficult to implement more ambitious plans related to the promotion, in Raqqa province, where the United States with the Kurds gradually develop success from Tabqa, continuing to bend the line on the environment of the capital of the Caliphate.