For SAA, the occupation of the oasis Sukhna will have important operational value, as the capture of Sukhna opens the way for the assault in the province of Deir ez-Zor, where an oasis can be intermediate rear base that will be necessary as you move along the road of HOMS – Deir-ZZ-Zor. For the Caliphate the loss of Arak would mean further complication of the situation to the East and North-East of Palmyra, where in the last few months, “black” has lost a number of key positions.
“The Israeli enemy should know that if it launches an attack on Syria or Lebanon, it’s unknown whether the fighting will stay just between Lebanon and Israel, or Syria and Israel,” Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said.
“I’m not saying countries would intervene directly — but it would open the door for hundreds of thousands of fighters from all around the Arab and Islamic world to participate in this fight — from Iraq, Yemen, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan,” he said.
Judging by what is happening, agreement on the division of spheres of influence in South-Eastern Syria and no parties are aggressive redistribution of these territories, While the United States hinder the promotion of the Iranian proxy to At-Tapu, SAA, “Hezbollah” and Shiite volunteers prepare forced off a large piece of territory between the Eastern Kalamoon and the Syrian-Jordanian border. Plus, for all this fuss in the desert is hidden a profound struggle with Iran for a strategic opportunity to control the Syrian-Iraqi borders, through which Iran wants to throw a land corridor to Syria and create “a Shiite Crescent”.
The Syrian Arab Army’s (SAA) recent advances in the southern countryside of Syria has led them to recover a large portion of territory that has been out of their control for over three years.
The armed forces of Syria in the seventh year of the war, from the regular army to the volunteer corps
With the outbreak of civil war in Syria, the Assad regime undertook measures for the adaptation of his loyal armed forces to the conflict to which they were absolutely not ready.
Importantly, the overall dynamics of such operations in the majority of such crises in the end in favor of Assad. Even suffering setbacks at the tactical and operational level, strategically, Assad continues to strengthen its position, expanding the controlled area. The successful conclusion of operations in Northern Hama will also serve to strengthen this trend, which originated in the fall of 2015.
Of course at this stage the fighting in North Hama not only hinder the development of the offensive of the SAA to the East of Aleppo, but also make it difficult to implement more ambitious plans related to the promotion, in Raqqa province, where the United States with the Kurds gradually develop success from Tabqa, continuing to bend the line on the environment of the capital of the Caliphate.
The Syrian army stated on March 17 that during a RAID on a convoy “Hezbollah” shot down an Israeli aircraft. The IDF then officially denied any losses, but today admitted that during the RAID was lost one drone. At the same time, Israel claims that the drone fell itself, and was not shot down by Syrian air defense.
There was quite a remarkable report focuses on the updated hybrid strategy of Iran in the Syrian war. This topic is quite narrowly covered in the media, and interested Americans to demonize Iran itself is quite clear, given the fact that the new White House administration has already identified Iran among the main opponents of the US in the region. However, the report has many interesting points.
Overall, this is another local crisis on the familiar scenario. At the moment, from the area of fighting received enough conflicting information, although it is unlikely here the Caliphate will be able to make significant progress that changes the operational situation to the West of the province of Raqqa. As a maximum, will for some time to create a local crisis with the standard threat to the supply of strategic road.
The militants here in Dec put up a stubborn resistance to hold the strategically important valley, upon which they could affect the water supply of Damascus. Attack from the South, the militants are confident enough to beat it. But the Syrians came in on the other hand, the impact of the SAA and groups “Hezbollah” to the North of the valley, led to the fact that the rebels lost a number of tactically important heights and their position in the Western part of Wadi Barada has deteriorated. After that, they immediately asked for an armistice.
In a network there was video where fighters among Lebanese “Hezbollah” examining the battlefield in Aleppo, lit up our men fighting with the Lebanese. Write that it is possible the men of the Special Operations Forces operating in combat formations “Hezbollah” the same way as in the combat formations of the Kurds working with American commandos. It is not excluded that the required videos were “PMCs”.
In a speech delivered during a meeting on Friday with university students, Nasrallah said that Syrians are making the future of their country and the region, adding that Aleppo victory is a military, political and moral triumph for Syria and a major defeat for the terrorist scheme.
In a live televised address, Nasrallah said that the Assad regime forces’ recapture of the northern city of Aleppo after four years of fighting with rebels holding its eastern sector had opened a new stage in the nearly six-year conflict.
“Today, after Aleppo, one can safely say the [opposition’s] goal of toppling the regime has failed,” he said. “The victory of Aleppo can open new horizons for political solutions…It could make some nations realistic and see new viewpoints.”
In the next 2-3 days in the area of Tiyas expected bad weather, which will hamper air support that could set the stage for surprise attacks using suicide car bombers, with the aim of breaking the main line of defense, so the Syrians need to carefully monitor the activity of the Caliphate – from the idea to capture Tiyas “black” have not declined.
With the removal of the last of the militants in Aleppo to Idlib, the elimination of the remaining fanatics in the East of Aleppo and the surrender of those who wished to give up (or were caught filtering) today, this formally ended the assault on Aleppo. 12 December, the Syrian authorities have already reported about the victory, but it took another three days to settle the formalities. So today, and the Russian General staff and al-Assad has officially announced the completion of the storming of Aleppo. Thus, you can now accurately indicate that the fighting in Aleppo began on 19 July 2012 and closed on 15 December 2016. This is one of the longest battles in one locality over the past decade.
It is clear that the group in the area of Tiyas requires strengthening to reflect such threats. Overnight another 200 fighters “Hezbollah” pushed into Tiyas, which is encouraging, as the Lebanese are very strong infantry, which when necessary, is able to abut, during the fighting in Rampage have experienced assault troops “Al-Nusra” and “Ahrar al-sham”. Also Sidorenko reported that the position of the SAA in the area of Tiasa out of 20 people emerged from the environment near Palmyra.
On the question of how and why such slow progress, let me remind that a considerable part of the force was until recently was defending against the Jihadi assault, and then it developed a successful counter-offensive to the South-West and West of the city. Second, the Syrian command wants to avoid unnecessary casualties among its soldiers and civilians, and reducing eastern Aleppo to the state of the lunar landscape. If it was the way it is written about in the Western media, the Eastern districts of Aleppo would have long been leveled to the ground by artillery and aviation, an obvious opportunity for the Assad regime if it was oblivious to the loss of the civilians. Instead, there is implementation of the strategy that led to success in the course of liquidation of militants near Damascus, when by small, but systematic strokes, the zone of control of the militants declined and they thus were forced to surrender without having to destroy the settlements, which they held.
The Mechanized division of “Hezbollah” holds military parade in Quseir (near Damascus). Tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, self-propelled guns, trucks. Lebanese resources call this connection “the 1st mechanized division in the history of the movement”.
Good news came this morning of Aleppo. After an intense artillery preparation of the SAA in the morning went on the offensive and drove the militants out of the building 1070 fighting which lasted three months. For a long time neither one nor the other side coul fully capture, although both sides tried to achieve this and suffered significant losses in these attempts. And so, in the end, the battlefield was left for the SAA and “Hezbollah”. It is not only tactical, but also a very symbolic victory, the Syrians can once again overcome the enemy in the fight of attrition.