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Overview of the military situation in the battle for Aleppo, by 5 August 2016.
1. By 5 August it became pretty obvious that the plan of the militants ‘ offensive has completely failed and none of the operational problems they could not solve. The key components of SAA defense withstood heavy pressure from militants and remained impregnable, which led to the need to depart from vkladyvanii fighters between the Academy, “al-Assad” and artillery base, as well as in the area of the quarter Ramosaj.All declared a “phase mother of all battles” were held, but deblokady not happened and the battle gradually shifted in the positional phase where the value of the benefits of SAA-related superiority in artillery, armored vehicles and aircraft, as well as in the defensive nature of the actions – will increase.
At the moment, SAA and Shiite militias are active in the defense, drawing in the positions of the militants in the building 1070 and to the West of the quarter Hamadania. Artillery base, quarter Ramose and Cement Plant provides control of the affected part of the route of supply passing through Ramosaj here, SAA has a tough defense, providing artillery and aircraft are still at the stage of preparation to harm the storming rebels.
In the South, fighting at Huwaiza and North-East of Khan-Fog and al-Carasso in the Amiriyah) also did not lead to serious progress of militants and moreover, the assault group “al-Nusra” has suffered substantial losses.
In the Aleppo continues the process of withdrawal from the civilian town, the militants until that special trends to surrender not show, but this is quite understandable, as even a glimmer of hope that the corridor to Aleppo would be broken. In the case of a complete failure of the offensive “green”, we can expect serious morale breaking at least some of the militants in Aleppo. Yet they beat off the attack of SAA and Kurds in the Northern areas of the city and succumbing in the vicinity of a cement plant and East of the artillery base, but because of the lack of heavy weapons, this activity is relatively easy docked.For today “al-Nusra” announced the resumption of “phase 3″ and a new attempt to take the artillery base, so while the plan deblokady Aleppo, the militants have not given up and there is still a lot of fighting.
2. By 5 August for militants left the South-Western part of building 1070, school of hikmah and small towns to the South-West quarter of Ramose, and most of those achievements relates to 1 August. For the last 4 days special success from the rebels there, except for fleeting opportunities to fire intermittently along the southern route of supplies passing through Ramosaj.Of course, fighters that cannot satisfy, so have been going less meaningful, and more chaotic attacks from inside Aleppo and outside, who are now reduced to the exhausting battles on the outskirts of the quarter Ramosaj, on the outskirts of the cement plant and in the area of artillery base. We are continuing our romp in the development of 1070. From surrounded in Aleppo militants deblocking group is now separated from 2 to 3 kilometers.The shortest way is to bash through the quarter Ramosaj, but as shown by previous battles, Shiite militias and infantry Hezballa” was more than prepared for street fighting, and repulsed the onslaught of the storm troopers “An-Nusra” and “Ahrar al-sham”. Attack South of the city near Amiriyah and Huwaiza hardly anything I can help surrounded the city to the militants.
It is not difficult to notice that the advanced positions of insurgents on the outskirts of the building 1070, a few streets are the positions of the SAA.
Here are the messages from both sides about total control over 1070, when in fact he controlled both sides in part, a large part of the district for SAA
3. FSI Russian and Syrian air force continued to launch intensive air strikes as advanced positions of militants and their logistical transportation and logistics infrastructure, resulting in increased number of air strikes in the West province of Idlib from Aleppo to drag reinforcements and supply columns.The use of a variety of ammunition, including cluster bombs, have led to very significant losses of fighters in manpower in the offensive zone, especially where they failed to converge with the line of defense of the SAA and our aircraft had the opportunity to cover the assault group of militants without the risk of work out on their own. Loss, everything is still very blurry – militants since the offensive began in total it turns out somewhere from 350 to 480 killed and more than 1,000 to 1,200 wounded. The SAA and the Shiite militia of about 200-250 600-700 dead and wounded.
4. Eloquent hysteria from the West demonstrates that the expectations of a number of countries associated with the attack of militants on Aleppo did not materialize. Approximately 2-3 days they waited, hoping that green will be able to release Aleppo and fed the propaganda of the militants of the broadcasts about the imminent success of “the breakthrough”.After it became evident that Assad and withstood a powerful blow, went in the course of diplomatic leverage – Russia and Assad began to accuse the organization of a humanitarian catastrophe, closed his eyes on the strange story with the use of gas in Aleppo, began to offer “joint operations against the Caliphate”, if only Russia stopped its active support of Assad in the battle for Aleppo. Yesterday, the concern over that has formally expressed the Department of state and the White House.It is quite clear why the US is in a hurry – translation battles in the positional phase promises “green” nothing good, so im trying to organize a respite, during which they can regroup and prepare new attempts to relieve the city. It should also be noted the growing unspoken sadness in Ukraine, which hurt “the green” in anticipation of the “Peremogi” over the “Muscovites”, but the output emerges another zrada.
5. Overall, the tide of battle is slowly but surely unfolding in favor of Assad, as the defenses in the South still stand, the militants suffered heavy losses in men and materiel, and spent a lot of ammunition for heavy weapons (in the Aleppo this trend is even more noticeable). Part of the “moderate” militants are demoralized by the unsuccessful course of the battle, suffered heavy losses and the command structure of the militants, one can observe signs of inconsistency in the actions of various militias. Of course, due to the high level of religious fanaticism, the key groups storming Aleppo (like “Ahrar al-sham” or “Al-Nusra”) is far from complete defeat, but their capabilities during the last days considerably declined. Battles are moving toward the warfare of attrition, that is more to the benefit of the SAA. In the battle for the farm the Mall when the militant counter-offensive achieved initial tactical successes, but in the course of defensive battles it lost fully, wholly experiencing the attacks of the Russian and Syrian aircraft and artillery of Assad. As a result, operational crisis, though not yet fully resolved, but the trend now is that for the past 5-7 days it may be resolved in favor of Assad, if the rebels will not be able to gather strength and still pass these poor 2 kilometers. But it may be that these are so close to 2 kilometers can be overwhelming. At the time, such conflict has faced SAA, punching corridor in Kuveyris, when nearly a week the army was unable to break through the defense of the Caliphate on the outskirts of the airbase.But the Syrians were still able to overpower the enemy and defeat the “black” that began a turning point in the battle for Aleppo, the battle for which is now approaching its climax.
The Fourth Revolutionary War 