Syria on fire | MAPS VIDEO

The rumored spring offensive in Syria is now unleashed. The five objectives are:

1-The final liberation of Aleppo and the destruction of all remaining Jihadi pockets in and around the city.

2-The reconquest of the area north of Aleppo all the way to the Turkish border, cutting the major Turkish supply line to the Jihadi formations in western Syria and linking up the three Kurdish cantons into a contiguous state.

3-The encirclement and systematic destruction of all Jihadi/rebel forces in Latakia and Idlib, leading to the liberation of western Syria and possibly even the Hatay province.

4-The clearing of major Jihadi pockets south of Damascus and the reestablishment of government control over the southern border.

5-The liberation of Al-Raqqa Governorate’s strategic Tabaqa Military Airport

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Syria on fire | MAPS VIDEO

The rumored spring offensive in Syria is now clearly unleashed. The four clear objectives are:

1-The final liberation of Aleppo and the destruction of all remaining Jihadi pockets in and around the city.

2-The reconquest of the area north of Aleppo all the way to the Turkish border, cutting the major Turkish supply line to the Jihadi formations in western Syria and linking up the three Kurdish cantons into a contiguous state.

3-The encirclement and systematic destruction of all Jihadi/rebel forces in Latakia and Idlib, leading to the liberation of western Syria and possibly even the Hatay province.

4-The clearing of major Jihadi pockets south of Damascus and the reestablishment of government control over the southern border.

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Save Aleppo | Colonel Cassad

The official representative of the Russian Ministry of Defence, Major-General Igor Konashenkov said last week that there are reasonable grounds to suspect Turkey in preparation for a military invasion of Syria. According to him, the Russian Defense Ministry has presented the international community irrefutable video evidence, on which the Turkish self-propelled artillery firing on the Syrian population centers in the north of Latakia. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has called these statements “ridiculous”.

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Carrot and stick | Colonel Cassad

A series of military defeats of the “rebels” naturally brings to the agenda an unambiguous question – what would happen if the war continues in the same format and the same trend? Sponsors of opposition groups are beginning to understand that what initially looked like a gamble RF interference, radically change the strategic situation in Syria and the Russian alliance with Syria, Iran and Hezbollah turned out from a military point of view to be much more effective than anticipated in the beginning. Despite occasional slip on a number of fronts, if we take the situation as a whole – a series of small successes translates into operational and strategic developments that have an impact on world politics. From a military point of view, the cries about the “suffering in Aleppo” are a reflection of the growing awareness that the militants could not keep the lines of supply to the controlled part of the city, and the city in general. In Homs, at the time it was so and that is why when Assad demanded to stop offensive in Homs region and go to “negotiate.”

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The Syrian spring offensive is in full swing | MAPS VIDEOS

This kettle battle will end badly for IS if they can’t break out very quickly. IMO there is now a gap of about 2 miles between the mobile R+6 force moving west from the Kuweires air base salient and what is referred to on the map as the “Aleppo mainland” that is under government control.

In the south there is another impending kettle battle in the area NE of Deraa City with a column moving east to link up with government forces farther east.

At the same time the Mother of all Kettles will shortly be fought west of Aleppo city.

This effort in the west of Syria should be over in a month or so if the Turks do not intervene on the ground in strength. It continues to seem unlikely to me that they will do that and risk escalation to possible annihilation at the hands of the Russians no matter how mad Sultan Tayyip may be.

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