Briefly about the Donbass and Ukraine. | Colonel Cassad

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Briefly about the Donbass and Ukraine.

1. Truce.

The DNR today announced the ceasefire. Within the you know what.

The APU also did not check again and fired at the SFS

Donetsk filtration station (IPS) is once again in the line of fire and was forced to stop water supply as the result of damage to power lines caused by the AFU, told the staff of DND.

Thus, the initiative of the DNI on establishing truce was once again thwarted by the APU, which continued the policy of genocide of the people of Donbass. To deprive the water of Donetsk and the surrounding settlements of Ukraine did not stop even the fact that the filtration station supplies the items in the Donetsk region. Another fire DFS has become the third largest provocation of Ukrainian troops in the strategic sector between Yasinovataya and Avdeyevka. Recall that the shelling of the electrical towers under Yasinovataya, undertaken by the APU at the end of January from Avdeevka, was the reason for their occurrence at the contact line.

To date, the staff of the Donetsk filtering station evacuated and are safe. However, in the area of the fire station in Yasinovataya burning three houses in the result of damage to the air service….

https://politexpert.net/30128-vsu-vnov-vyveli-iz-stroya-filtrovalnuyu-stanciyu-donecka zinc

Per day according to official statistics in the Republic damaged 19 houses.

At night in the republics was something in the spirit of this.

In General, declare, not declare, you still get the “cynical violation of Minsk agreements in subgroups”.

2. Blockade.

Simon pumped. The blockade of the railway communication with Russia despite the pretentious beginning, so full and not deployed.

Officially, the statement that the message continues http://korrespondent.net/ukraine/3822974-blokada-donbassa-yz-konotopa-vse-esche-khodiat-poezda, although one train was still stopped http://rian.com.ua/society/20170305/1021976026.html

the organizers of the blockade a criminal case http://ren.tv/novosti/2017-03-05/ukraina-vozbudila-ugolovnoe-delo-po-faktu-organizacii-zheleznodorozhnoy-blokady-v then the organizers just blown away and said that block would be in the “observation mode” http://www.dsnews.ua/politics/blokada-zh-d-dorogi-v-konotope-prekrashchena-shtab-blokady-05032017193100

Disgrace Adenauer.

3. “Aggression”

“Craftsmen” from Ilkacase made a wonderful film about how a Russian attack on Ukraine http://bmpd.livejournal.com/2470699.html

In fact, this rewriting of one of the variants Stratfor 2015 http://ivan4.ru/news/politics/tri_stsenariya_po_ukraine_ot_stratfor/, which investigates the various options associated with direct invasion.


It is not difficult to notice that the authors are not very creative borrowing from American analysts.

In other respects, the authors proceed from the erroneous premise that Russia now will directly send troops, although it is obvious that the emphasis is on the internal build-up maintaining the position of the front in the Donbas.

Boilers at the border is only possible in the options, if “Kyiv three times can not think” and try to implement the blueprint of operation “oluja” by conducting operations aimed at military destruction of the DNI and LC. That’s when the red arrows “which officially will not” more than likely will walk in the Ukrainian rear. But hardly it will occur at the initiative of the Russian Federation or people’s Republic. There’s probably a new truce announced.

https://z5h64q92x9.net/proxy_u/ru-en.en/ivan4.ru/news/politics/tri_stsenariya_po_ukraine_ot_stratfor/

Three scenarios for Ukraine from Stratfor.

The forecast variants of development of events in Ukraine in case of violation of Kiev truce was published by the Agency Stratfor. According to analysts, there are three possible scenarios of the situation in case of resumption of hostilities, and in any case will be a quick defeat of the APU, even if their military support of NATO forces.


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Under the first scenario, called experts Stratfor “Corridor to the Crimea”, 25-30 thousand Russian troops under the guise of militia to occupy the territory of 46 thousand square kilometers and create a land corridor to the Peninsula.

Under this option, the Agency’s analysts predict the defeat of the APU a maximum of 2 weeks.

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The second scenario describes the seizure of the Black sea coast, i.e. an area of 100 thousand square kilometers. This will provide a land corridor from Crimea and Transnistria, however, this operation will need 40-60 thousand Russian soldiers – consider in Stratfor.

In the case of the second scenario, the Ukrainian security forces will be defeat the maximum per month.

cards 2.jpg

As for the third scenario, it provided for the partition of Ukraine along the Dnieper and the creation of a Moscow-controlled state in the area of 220 thousand square kilometers.

In this scenario, you will need about 100 thousand Russian soldiers, who will be able to achieve the goals for 10-14 days – consider in Stratfor. The third scenario analysts say is the most reasonable for Russia, however, preparations for such a large-scale operation, according to experts, in any case will be detected by NATO intelligence.

The third scenario, Kiev will no longer control more than a quarter of the country’s territory and will lose almost the entire industrial capacity.

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Whatever the scenario implemented Moscow, the defeat of the APU is inevitable – stress analysts Stratfor. Thus, the resumption of hostilities in the Donbas represents a mortal threat to Ukraine – sums up the experts.

https://z5h64q92x9.net/proxy_u/ru-en.en/https/ruposters.ru/news/10-03-2015/scenariya-udara-ukraine

Agency Stratfor has published three scenarios for strike against Ukraine

Agency Stratfor has published three scenarios for strike against Ukraine

The forecast variants of development of events in Ukraine in case of violation of Kiev truce was published by the Agency Stratfor. According to analysts, there are three possible scenarios of the situation in case of resumption of hostilities, and in any case will be a quick defeat of the APU, even if their military support of NATO forces.

Under the first scenario, called experts Stratfor “Corridor to the Crimea”, 25-30 thousand Russian troops under the guise of militia to occupy the territory of 46 thousand square kilometers and create a land corridor to the Peninsula.

Under this option, the Agency’s analysts predict the defeat of the APU a maximum of 2 weeks.

The second scenario describes the seizure of the Black sea coast, i.e. an area of 100 thousand square kilometers. This will provide a land corridor from Crimea and Transnistria, however, this operation will need 40-60 thousand Russian soldiers – consider in Stratfor.

In the case of the second scenario, the Ukrainian security forces will be defeat the maximum per month.

As for the third scenario, it provided for the partition of Ukraine along the Dnieper and the creation of a Moscow-controlled state in the area of 220 thousand square kilometers.

In this scenario, you will need about 100 thousand Russian soldiers, who will be able to achieve the goals for 10-14 days – consider in Stratfor. The third scenario analysts say is the most reasonable for Russia, however, preparations for such a large-scale operation, according to experts, in any case will be detected by NATO intelligence.

The third scenario, Kiev will no longer control more than a quarter of the country’s territory and will lose almost the entire industrial capacity.

Whatever the scenario implemented Moscow, the defeat of the APU is inevitable – stress analysts Stratfor. Thus, the resumption of hostilities in the Donbas represents a mortal threat to Ukraine – sums up the experts.

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